Monday, February 8, 2016

NEW HAMPSHIRE TUESDAY

 I hope these cartoonists do not object with my sharing with you these two cartoons which best describe tomorrow's New Hampshire primary.

  1.  
 

The latest polls seem to indicate that Clinton is making a serious cut into Sanders lead.

Trump is supposed to have a plurality in New Hampshire, if it is less than the polls indicate it will be a defeat for him. Cruz has only a relatively small following so he can make little of the results here. Rubio stands to lose most if he does not poll well and Bush may abandon the race. With any double figure percentage both Kasich and Christie will move on to the upcoming selection between now and mid March.

Sabatto writes that "Based on the aggregate data at HuffPost Pollster and RealClearPolitics, four Republicans are presently averaging more than 10% in New Hampshire polls: Trump, Rubio, Cruz, and Kasich. The 10% mark is not only a straightforward cutoff point, it’s also the statewide threshold for winning at least one of the 20 GOP national convention delegates at stake in the Granite State’s Feb. 9 primary (the state has 23 total but its three automatic delegates are officially unbound)."

He also thinks that Christie will not survive

The smoking gun is that non-affiliated voters who may be a majority in New Hampshire can vote in either primary and they can make any of the poll results meaningless.
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