Wednesday, February 1, 2012

FACTS NOT CONTROVERSY

"In politics, absurdity is not a handicap." -- Napoleon Bonaparte

Tomorrow is Ground Hog Day and Punxsutawney Phil will be counted upon to tell us if we will have 6 more weeks of this(?) Winter or if Spring will be just around the corner;

Phil’s prognostications have as much validity as rules of conduct by politicians from Newt down to the lowest elected office in a municipality.

None the less the world will continue to rotate for in 4 more days the first great earth shaking event of the year 2012 will take place. That is the Super Bowl and from the media we get the impression that anything that occurs the rest of the year will be an anti-climax.

That may not be true about the selection process for the Republican nominee for President. Although Romney won a significant victory in Florida by at the time I wrote this beating Gingrich by about 17 percent points the road to Convention is still not assured.

This Saturday there are caucuses in Main and Nebraska with caucuses in Colorado and Minnesota with a non binding one in Missouri taking placed. Then the world goes activity silent for about two weeks until February 28th when Michigan and Arizona hold primaries. The first two weeks of March will be busy with Super Tuesday the first Tues day in March when 10 states hold their primaries. That date is the target that the also ran’s and Gingrich are shooting for and hope to be able to make a significant impact at the Convention.

This year the Republican Party has changed its ground rules on delegate selection an already in many states it is no longer winner take all but the delegates are divided proportionally according to results in the primary selection process.

That change may allow candidates who have received a lesser number of committed delegates to assume a role of power brokers. Certainly that seems to be Paul’s goal and Gingrich feels that he will be able to dictate the Republican Platform. Indeed he has asked Perry (who is he?) to help he write a proposed platform.

Since New Jersey will have no say in the selection of the nominee until primary day early June we can only sit and watch knowing that somewhere along the line the GOP will commit political suicide

No comments:

Post a Comment