Thursday, January 12, 2012

POLITICAL MAVEN

A maven (also mavin) is a trusted expert in a particular field, who seeks to pass knowledge on to others. The word maven comes from Hebrew, via Yiddish, and means one who understands, based on an accumulation of knowledge.

Quite often the so called “Maven” is only in the eyes of those who seek expert advice but in fact may be only a con artist.

Under current circumstances I doubt that nearly 99% of my readers can challenge my assumption of the title of Political Maven.However, I would recommend that one should take my opines with a grain of salt.

That said what is the meaning of the New Hampshire Primary Elections?

As expected Romney had a significant majority unlike his eked out victory in Iowa. It only makes him the leading candidate for the Republican nomination; it does not ensure that he will be selected since there are many more primaries ahead.After the January and early February flurry there will be a hiatus in delegate selection until March.

New Hampshire probably represents a more liberal political atmosphere typical of the North East than that of the Bible Belt States or so called ‘Red Neck” states. Those states will strongly lean towards the extreme conservative religious (evangelist Christian) Republican Right.It is these states that will be the bastion for Gingrich and Santorum; both who did poorly in New Hampshire. Both candidates may have just reached the 10% of the vote to be allotted a portion of New Hampshire’s pledged delegates.

Perry who did not compete there hopes to do well in next week’s Saturday’s South Carolina elections.

Of the two that were closest to Romney; the professed to be a Libertarian, Ron Paul because of his illogical foreign policy views will ultimately appeal to only the radical conservative (no that is not an oxymoron) fringe of the Republican Party.

He will continue to do well in all primaries and if Romney has not accumulated the 1144 committed delegates need for the nomination may be a potential broker at the convention. However unless the Republican Party wishes to commit suicide, Paul will not be on the ticket.

That leaves Huntsman; the former Governor of Utah, who like Romney is a Mormon and also independently wealthy. Huntsman did surprisingly well in this election finishing a strong third. If he is still in the race by convention time he might evolve into a compromised candidate acceptable to the Ultra Right that detests Romney and also tolerable by the Centralist members of the party.

The fact that Huntsman did take the position of Ambassador to China under Obama may make him more acceptable to Independents and Centralists Democrats who feel the Obama administration has been a failure.

2 comments:

  1. Would that be NaCl or Sea Salt?

    ReplyDelete
  2. As Sheldon would say NaCl is NaCl no matter what the package.

    ReplyDelete